Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.484707 0.559765 0.641676 0.737581 0.846665 0.966749 1.108830
2025-07-27 0.367919 0.472549 0.598140 0.759396 0.960300 1.201655 1.512828
2025-08-03 0.296854 0.412638 0.561735 0.766501 1.038916 1.387181 1.864197
2025-08-10 0.245715 0.364833 0.527423 0.763417 1.094606 1.539793 2.179817
2025-08-17 0.206114 0.324445 0.494471 0.753489 1.134234 1.668636 2.469423
2025-08-24 0.175921 0.292040 0.466830 0.744950 1.171063 1.792522 2.758446
2025-08-31 0.148191 0.258707 0.432517 0.720587 1.179289 1.872437 2.986668
2025-09-07 0.138561 0.252677 0.439061 0.758966 1.285380 2.105155 3.460936
2025-09-14 0.119369 0.227664 0.411528 0.738558 1.294937 2.188087 3.708018
2025-09-21 0.103298 0.205698 0.386125 0.718134 1.301117 2.264179 3.947668
2025-09-28 0.090369 0.187553 0.364970 0.702158 1.312200 2.347524 4.203483
2025-10-05 0.083485 0.179877 0.361562 0.717016 1.377513 2.525699 4.630449
2025-10-12 0.079650 0.177926 0.368943 0.753177 1.485570 2.788102 5.226803
2025-10-19 0.074475 0.172577 0.369274 0.776150 1.571762 3.019334 5.787267
2025-10-26 0.068196 0.163967 0.362070 0.783461 1.628660 3.201576 6.272418
2025-11-02 0.061657 0.153802 0.350402 0.780319 1.664493 3.346843 6.698951
2025-11-09 0.055279 0.143048 0.336166 0.770187 1.685113 3.464323 7.080878
2025-11-16 0.049769 0.133497 0.323335 0.761472 1.707396 3.585906 7.478228
2025-11-23 0.043714 0.121696 0.304065 0.736607 1.693551 3.635069 7.737151
2025-11-30 0.042687 0.122358 0.313254 0.775776 1.818687 3.970051 8.584595
2025-12-07 0.037900 0.112572 0.296836 0.754949 1.811863 4.036062 8.893902
2025-12-14 0.033658 0.103567 0.281175 0.734103 1.802832 4.096251 9.194482
2025-12-21 0.030132 0.095970 0.268044 0.717797 1.802350 4.173900 9.535948